Also brings into question if this is a one week plot, or two week plot... so if it's a two week plot it might lead into something else, like with the space ship plot... Gimme a sec... I can figure this out.

[Hayato turns around, leaning against the railing and lighting up a cigarette. He's silent for a moment, then starts muttering to himself. Occasionally he opens his eyes and looks up, working something out on his fingers, maybe scratches his head in irritation when he messes up. After a few minutes he seems to have mostly worked things out.]

Alright, I think I got this. Like I said the best bet is that this plot will lead to another... like a deserted island, or maybe something aquatic? Since it used to be fairly common for her to do so, but over time it's become more gradual and spaced out, following that pattern she should be due for something along those lines any week now. That would probably mean that the ship will sink from anytime between Friday to Monday. There's also the possibility this is a one week plot, which means that most likely she's going to sink of Friday, but Wednesday and Thursday are also still pretty risky. The last possibility is that this will be laid out like the zombie plot... which would mean that the ship would sink on Monday, but she's only done that once, so percentage-wise it is the least likely of the three. If I had some paper I could work out the exact numbers, I would have to get all the plots and their duration, as well as how they ended. If I can try to calculate a pattern... and then I can write out the-

[He pauses for a moment when he realizes how much of a nerd he's being he's rambling]

Ah... sorry, you probably don't give a shit about all the numbers and stuff....